Your October weather guide

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Weather in Cancun in October

Cancun in October is a good choice for warm seas and hot weather, but not for a holiday that depends on staying dry. Daytime highs average 28°C, nights stay around 25°C, and about 21 days have measurable rain. For a UK traveller, the appeal is warmth that lasts into the evening; the catch is needing flexible plans. Go if swimming matters more than clear skies, and rain would be an inconvenience rather than a holiday spoiler.

Long-term climate averages for Cancún, not a forecast · 1991-2020

Cancun, month by month

Your snapshot

At a glance

The useful details for Cancún.

Average daytime high
28.1°C
9 in 10 days stay below 30°C
Average night-time low
25.0°C
coldest 10% of nights: 24°C or lower
Compared with London
+13.5°C
London averages 14.6°C in October
Sea temperature
28.5°C
year to year: 28°C to 29°C
Sunshine per day (est.)
4.9h
43% of 11.5 h of daylight
Rainy days (1 mm+)
21
193 mm over the month
Humidity
81%
Days over 25°C
99%
5% over 30°C
Record high 1991-2020
31.8°C
2018-10-09
Record low 1991-2020
19.2°C
2017-10-30
Flight from London
≈ 10 h 42 min
7963 km, long-haul (estimate for a direct flight)

Records are observed extremes within 1991-2020, not typical holiday conditions. Warm-day percentages are shares of days, not day counts.

How October compares

October is the 7th warmest month of the year in Cancun and ranks 31st of 134 destinations we compare for October - see where else is hot in October. Within Mexico it is 5th of 5 (Mexico in October). Against London's average high of 14.6°C in October, Cancun is 13.5°C warmer by day and 16.6°C warmer at night.

Daytime and night-time in October

The typical October day in Cancun peaks at 28.1°C, but that is an average: the warmest 10% of days reach 29.6°C or more. About 99% of days top 25°C and 1 in 20 pass 30°C. Nights average 25.0°C; one night in ten drops to 23.8°C or lower, so pack a layer for evenings. Between 1991 and 2020 the hottest October day here reached 31.8°C (2018-10-09) and the coldest night 19.2°C (2017-10-30).

Rain in October

Wet (more than 8 rainy days): about 21 days with 1 mm or more, 193 mm in total. Year to year it varies a lot - the wettest October was 2005 with 529 mm, the driest 1994 with 57 mm. Humidity averages 81%, which makes the heat feel heavier than the thermometer suggests.

Sea temperature in October

The sea averages 28.5°C - warm enough to swim (22°c+). Depending on the year it ranges from 28.1°C to 28.9°C. For the warmest sea here, come in September (28.9°C).

Sunshine and daylight

Around 4.9 hours of sunshine a day (estimated from cloud cover), 11.5 hours of daylight: the sun rises about 06:43 and sets about 18:23 local time in mid-October. Average cloud cover is 58%.

Is October a good time to visit Cancun?

It is a reasonable choice: hot days but expect showers. The best months for Cancun on our scoring are April, March, February; months averaging 25°C or more: Jan, Feb, Mar, Apr, May, Jun, Jul, Aug, Sep, Oct, Nov, Dec.

Expect wet weather, not wall-to-wall sunshine

October is a wet month in Cancun, so leave room to change outdoor plans rather than committing every day to the weather. About 4.9 hours of sunshine within 11.5 hours of daylight means there is sunshine to enjoy, but you should not expect clear skies throughout the day. The rainy-day figure does not tell you how long rain lasts or when it arrives, so do not rely on a dry morning or evening. Pack a light waterproof and keep something to do under cover in mind. This month suits travellers who can make use of sunny spells without needing every day to follow a fixed plan.

Warm swimming, with little cooling after dark

The sea averages 28.5°C, making swimming a clear reason to consider October. The warmth is reliable on land too: 99% of days reach 25°C, while only 5% reach 30°C. That makes this more about persistent warmth than frequent very high temperatures. Humidity averages 81%, so light, loose clothing is a sensible choice, and shade breaks can make time outdoors more comfortable around midday. Nights average 25°C, so do not expect the evening to bring much relief from the heat. Pack mainly for warm conditions, with sun protection as well as rain protection, rather than the layers you would usually need in Britain.

A little perspective

Cancun through the year

October is highlighted. See how it compares with the rest of the year.

Monthly climate averages

Swipe sideways on a phone; the month stays in view.

Cancun monthly climate averages, 1991-2020; October is the selected month.
MonthDayNightSeaSun/dayRain mmRainy daysDays 25°C+
January25.4°C22.2°C26.1°C5.6611165%
Februarybest26.1°C22.7°C25.9°C7.036777%
Marchbest26.9°C23.2°C26.0°C7.333787%
Aprilbest28.3°C24.4°C26.6°C7.738798%
May29.1°C25.3°C27.5°C7.29213100%
June29.2°C25.9°C28.1°C5.316719100%
July29.8°C26.3°C28.5°C6.511218100%
August29.9°C26.3°C28.8°C5.814621100%
September29.3°C25.8°C28.9°C4.620625100%
OctoberSelected28.1°C25.0°C28.5°C4.91932199%
November26.8°C23.9°C27.6°C5.7811290%
December25.9°C22.9°C26.7°C5.8531176%

Day = average daytime high, night = average night-time low, 1991-2020.Sun is hours per day; rainy days count 1 mm or more.

Day, night and sea

Monthly average temperatures, 1991-2020

  • Day
  • Night
  • Sea
Bars show average daytime highs and night-time lows; circles mark the average sea temperature. Same scale for every month. Exact values are in the table.

Best months here

On warmth, low rainfall and sunshine, start with these.

Keep exploring

Similar in October

Closest matches on daytime temperature, sea temperature and sunshine, in other countries.

A little more detail

Cancun in October FAQs

Plain answers, grounded in the averages.

Is Cancun hot in October?

Cancun is hot in October: the average daytime high is 28.1°C and nights average 25.0°C. About 99% of October days reach 25°C or more.

Can you swim in the sea in Cancun in October?

The sea around Cancun averages 28.5°C in October, which is warm enough for most people to swim comfortably. Between 1991 and 2020 it ranged from 28°C to 29°C depending on the year.

How much does it rain in Cancun in October?

Cancun sees about 21 rainy days (1 mm or more) and 193 mm of rain in a typical October. The wettest October between 1991 and 2020 was 2005 (529 mm) and the driest was 1994 (57 mm).

How sunny is Cancun in October?

Cancun gets around 4.9 hours of sunshine a day in October out of 11.5 hours of daylight (estimated from average cloud cover).

How does Cancun compare with the UK in October?

Cancun is on average 13.5°C warmer than London by day in October (28.1°C against 14.6°C).

What is the hottest October on record in Cancun?

Between 1991 and 2020 the hottest October day in Cancun reached 31.8°C on 2018-10-09, and the coldest night dropped to 19.2°C on 2017-10-30.

How much warmer is Cancun than London in October?

Cancun's average daytime high is 28.1°C, compared with 14.6°C in London - a difference of 13.5°C. It is a substantial change from a UK autumn, and Cancun's warm nights mean that contrast continues after sunset.

Is October the best month to visit Cancun?

Not overall: April, March and February are the stronger choices. October still suits travellers who want hot weather and a warm sea, but frequent rain is the main compromise. Choose it with flexible expectations rather than a need for dependable sunshine.

About these averages

ERA5-Land climate reanalysis via Open-Meteo (11 km grid) and NOAA Coral Reef Watch 5 km sea temperatures, 1991-2020

Averages computed from daily values at Cancún. Sea temperature from the nearest 5 km sea cell, 2.2 km from that point. Sunshine hours are estimated from average cloud cover.Records are the highest and lowest daily values in that 30-year period, not all-time records. These are climate averages, not a forecast for your trip. How we measure holiday weather