Your January weather guide
HotWeather in Cancun in January
January is a good time to visit Cancun if you want warm days and comfortable swimming without intense heat. Average highs are 25°C, nights stay around 22°C and the sea is about 26°C. For a UK traveller, that makes outdoor time and beach days realistic, but this is not a reliably dry holiday. Go for warmth rather than blazing sunshine, and leave some flexibility in your plans for rain.
Long-term climate averages for Cancún, not a forecast · 1991-2020
Cancun, month by month
Your snapshot
At a glance
The useful details for Cancún.
- Average daytime high
- 25.4°C
- 9 in 10 days stay below 27°C
- Average night-time low
- 22.2°C
- coldest 10% of nights: 20°C or lower
- Compared with London
- +18.0°C
- London averages 7.4°C in January
- Sea temperature
- 26.1°C
- year to year: 26°C to 27°C
- Sunshine per day (est.)
- 5.6h
- 52% of 10.8 h of daylight
- Rainy days (1 mm+)
- 11
- 61 mm over the month
- Humidity
- 73%
- Days over 25°C
- 65%
- none over 30°C
- Record high 1991-2020
- 29.7°C
- 2017-01-22
- Record low 1991-2020
- 15.6°C
- 2017-01-24
- Flight from London
- ≈ 10 h 42 min
- 7963 km, long-haul (estimate for a direct flight)
Records are observed extremes within 1991-2020, not typical holiday conditions. Warm-day percentages are shares of days, not day counts.
How January compares
January is the 12th warmest month of the year in Cancun and ranks 35th of 134 destinations we compare for January - see where else is hot in January. Within Mexico it is 5th of 5 (Mexico in January). Against London's average high of 7.4°C in January, Cancun is 18.0°C warmer by day and 20.0°C warmer at night.
Daytime and night-time in January
The typical January day in Cancun peaks at 25.4°C, but that is an average: the warmest 10% of days reach 27.3°C or more. About 65% of days top 25°C. Nights average 22.2°C; one night in ten drops to 19.5°C or lower, so pack a layer for evenings. Between 1991 and 2020 the hottest January day here reached 29.7°C (2017-01-22) and the coldest night 15.6°C (2017-01-24).
Rain in January
Wet (more than 8 rainy days): about 11 days with 1 mm or more, 61 mm in total. Year to year it varies a lot - the wettest January was 2014 with 165 mm, the driest 2001 with 7 mm. Humidity averages 73%.
Sea temperature in January
The sea averages 26.1°C - warm enough to swim (22°c+). Depending on the year it ranges from 25.6°C to 26.5°C. For the warmest sea here, come in September (28.9°C).
Sunshine and daylight
Around 5.6 hours of sunshine a day (estimated from cloud cover), 10.8 hours of daylight: the sun rises about 07:27 and sets about 18:26 local time in mid-January. Average cloud cover is 48%.
Is January a good time to visit Cancun?
It is a reasonable choice: hot days but expect showers. The best months for Cancun on our scoring are April, March, February; months averaging 25°C or more: Jan, Feb, Mar, Apr, May, Jun, Jul, Aug, Sep, Oct, Nov, Dec.
Warm enough for light clothes, without peak heat
January is Cancun's coolest month, but that needs putting in context: daytime highs are around 18°C above London's. Days reach 25°C about 65% of the time, so light clothing is a sensible starting point rather than something reserved for an unusually warm afternoon. This suits travellers who want warmth without making very hot weather the focus of the trip. Humidity is 73%, so it can still feel sticky; keep midday plans relaxed if you dislike humid conditions. Evenings are generally warm, though the coldest 10% of nights fall to 19.5°C or below. Pack a light layer alongside your summer clothes rather than assuming every evening will feel equally balmy.
Leave room for rain and cloud
The catch is that January is still wet enough to interrupt outdoor plans, with about 10 rainy days during the month. That does not tell you how long any spell of rain will last, so neither a complete washout nor a quick shower is a safe assumption. Expect a mixture rather than uninterrupted sunshine: there are about 5.6 hours of sunshine within 10.8 hours of daylight. Keep beach time flexible, carry a light waterproof and choose plans you can change without much fuss. January is a better fit for someone happy to work around the weather than for someone whose holiday depends on clear skies every day.
A little perspective
Cancun through the year
January is highlighted. See how it compares with the rest of the year.
| Month | Day | Night | Sea | Sun/day | Rain mm | Rainy days | Days 25°C+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JanuarySelected | 25.4°C | 22.2°C | 26.1°C | 5.6 | 61 | 11 | 65% |
| Februarybest | 26.1°C | 22.7°C | 25.9°C | 7.0 | 36 | 7 | 77% |
| Marchbest | 26.9°C | 23.2°C | 26.0°C | 7.3 | 33 | 7 | 87% |
| Aprilbest | 28.3°C | 24.4°C | 26.6°C | 7.7 | 38 | 7 | 98% |
| May | 29.1°C | 25.3°C | 27.5°C | 7.2 | 92 | 13 | 100% |
| June | 29.2°C | 25.9°C | 28.1°C | 5.3 | 167 | 19 | 100% |
| July | 29.8°C | 26.3°C | 28.5°C | 6.5 | 112 | 18 | 100% |
| August | 29.9°C | 26.3°C | 28.8°C | 5.8 | 146 | 21 | 100% |
| September | 29.3°C | 25.8°C | 28.9°C | 4.6 | 206 | 25 | 100% |
| October | 28.1°C | 25.0°C | 28.5°C | 4.9 | 193 | 21 | 99% |
| November | 26.8°C | 23.9°C | 27.6°C | 5.7 | 81 | 12 | 90% |
| December | 25.9°C | 22.9°C | 26.7°C | 5.8 | 53 | 11 | 76% |
Day = average daytime high, night = average night-time low, 1991-2020.Sun is hours per day; rainy days count 1 mm or more.
Day, night and sea
Monthly average temperatures, 1991-2020
- Day
- Night
- Sea
Best months here
On warmth, low rainfall and sunshine, start with these.
Keep exploring
Similar in January
Closest matches on daytime temperature, sea temperature and sunshine, in other countries.
Cuba · 25°C by day · sea 25°C
Varadero
Dominican Republic · 26°C by day · sea 26°C
Punta Cana
United States · 25°C by day · sea 25°C
Hawaii
Antigua · 26°C by day · sea 27°C
Antigua
Grenada · 27°C by day · sea 27°C
Grenada
A little more detail
Cancun in January FAQs
Plain answers, grounded in the averages.
Is Cancun hot in January?
Cancun is hot in January: the average daytime high is 25.4°C and nights average 22.2°C. About 65% of January days reach 25°C or more.
Can you swim in the sea in Cancun in January?
The sea around Cancun averages 26.1°C in January, which is warm enough for most people to swim comfortably. Between 1991 and 2020 it ranged from 26°C to 27°C depending on the year.
How much does it rain in Cancun in January?
Cancun sees about 11 rainy days (1 mm or more) and 61 mm of rain in a typical January. The wettest January between 1991 and 2020 was 2014 (165 mm) and the driest was 2001 (7 mm).
How sunny is Cancun in January?
Cancun gets around 5.6 hours of sunshine a day in January out of 10.8 hours of daylight (estimated from average cloud cover).
How does Cancun compare with the UK in January?
Cancun is on average 18.0°C warmer than London by day in January (25.4°C against 7.4°C).
What is the hottest January on record in Cancun?
Between 1991 and 2020 the hottest January day in Cancun reached 29.7°C on 2017-01-22, and the coldest night dropped to 15.6°C on 2017-01-24.
Is the sea warm enough to swim in January?
Yes. The sea averages 26.1°C, which is comfortably in the swimming range. Water temperature is a reason to consider January, even though rain and cloud may affect when you want to spend time on the beach.
Is January the best month to go?
January works well for warmth without peak heat, but April, March and February rate more favourably overall. If your dates are flexible, consider those months too. January's main compromise is the chance of rain rather than a lack of warmth.
Is the flight worthwhile for winter warmth?
The flight from London takes about 10 h 42 min, so this is a long-haul commitment. The temperature contrast is substantial, with Cancun's daytime high around 18°C above London's, but weigh that warmth against the possibility of wet days.
About these averages
ERA5-Land climate reanalysis via Open-Meteo (11 km grid) and NOAA Coral Reef Watch 5 km sea temperatures, 1991-2020
Averages computed from daily values at Cancún. Sea temperature from the nearest 5 km sea cell, 2.2 km from that point. Sunshine hours are estimated from average cloud cover.Records are the highest and lowest daily values in that 30-year period, not all-time records. These are climate averages, not a forecast for your trip. How we measure holiday weather
- Hot · 25°C+
- Warm · 20°C to below 25°C
- Mild · 15°C to below 20°C
- Cool · below 15°C