Your October weather guide
HotWeather in Bahamas in October
October is a good time for the Bahamas if you want hot weather and warm swimming, but not if dependable sunshine is your priority. Daytime highs average around 28°C, the sea is 28.3°C and about 17 days have rain. For a UK traveller, the appeal is warmth that lasts into the evening; the catch is needing flexible plans for wet weather. Choose it for swimming and relaxed days rather than a reliably dry holiday.
Long-term climate averages for Nassau, not a forecast · 1991-2020
Bahamas, month by month
Your snapshot
At a glance
The useful details for Nassau.
- Average daytime high
- 27.6°C
- 9 in 10 days stay below 29°C
- Average night-time low
- 25.2°C
- coldest 10% of nights: 24°C or lower
- Compared with London
- +13.0°C
- London averages 14.6°C in October
- Sea temperature
- 28.3°C
- year to year: 28°C to 29°C
- Sunshine per day (est.)
- 5.0h
- 44% of 11.4 h of daylight
- Rainy days (1 mm+)
- 17
- 133 mm over the month
- Humidity
- 76%
- Days over 25°C
- 98%
- 3% over 30°C
- Record high 1991-2020
- 30.8°C
- 2020-10-07
- Record low 1991-2020
- 19.1°C
- 1996-10-21
- Flight from London
- ≈ 9 h 30 min
- 6990 km, long-haul (estimate for a direct flight)
Records are observed extremes within 1991-2020, not typical holiday conditions. Warm-day percentages are shares of days, not day counts.
How October compares
October is the 5th warmest month of the year in Bahamas and ranks 40th of 134 destinations we compare for October - see where else is hot in October. Against London's average high of 14.6°C in October, Bahamas is 13.0°C warmer by day and 16.8°C warmer at night.
Daytime and night-time in October
The typical October day in Bahamas peaks at 27.6°C, but that is an average: the warmest 10% of days reach 29.1°C or more. About 98% of days top 25°C and 1 in 38 pass 30°C. Nights average 25.2°C; one night in ten drops to 23.9°C or lower, so pack a layer for evenings. Between 1991 and 2020 the hottest October day here reached 30.8°C (2020-10-07) and the coldest night 19.1°C (1996-10-21).
Rain in October
Wet (more than 8 rainy days): about 17 days with 1 mm or more, 133 mm in total. Year to year it varies a lot - the wettest October was 2005 with 294 mm, the driest 1997 with 23 mm. Humidity averages 76%.
Sea temperature in October
The sea averages 28.3°C - warm enough to swim (22°c+). Depending on the year it ranges from 27.7°C to 28.7°C. For the warmest sea here, come in August (29.7°C).
Sunshine and daylight
Around 5.0 hours of sunshine a day (estimated from cloud cover), 11.4 hours of daylight: the sun rises about 07:08 and sets about 18:43 local time in mid-October. Average cloud cover is 56%.
Is October a good time to visit Bahamas?
It is a reasonable choice: hot days but expect showers. The best months for Bahamas on our scoring are April, March, December; months averaging 25°C or more: Apr, May, Jun, Jul, Aug, Sep, Oct, Nov.
Hot days, with little cooling after dark
An average daytime high of 27.6°C makes October comfortably hot for light summer clothing, though humidity of 76% can make the air feel sticky. This is not usually extreme heat: just 3% of days reach 30°C. The more important detail for comfort is the average night low of 25.2°C, so evenings offer little cooling down. Pack loose, breathable clothes and check that your accommodation has cooling you will be comfortable sleeping with. Put more active plans earlier in the day if you dislike midday heat, and do not expect to need the autumn layers you would wear at home.
Rain is the main compromise
With about 17 rainy days, October suits travellers who can change their plans more than those counting on dry weather throughout their stay. Average sunshine is about 5.0 hours within 11.4 hours of daylight, so there is still scope for time outdoors, but daylight should not be mistaken for uninterrupted sun. The rainfall figures do not tell you when rain will arrive or how long it will last, so avoid building your whole holiday around a fixed outdoor schedule. Carry a light waterproof, keep something suitable for wet weather in reserve, and take sunny opportunities when they come rather than assuming tomorrow will be clearer.
Warm water is a strong reason to go
The sea averages 28.3°C, making swimming a clear strength of an October trip. Its year-to-year range of 28°C to 29°C also suggests that water temperature is less of a concern than finding the weather you want for sitting beside it. That warmth does not guarantee calm conditions, so judge swimming conditions on the day rather than by temperature alone. With the flight from London taking about 9 h 30 min, this is a long-haul commitment for a month with a wet-weather compromise. It makes most sense if warm air and water matter more to you than consistently clear skies.
A little perspective
Bahamas through the year
October is highlighted. See how it compares with the rest of the year.
| Month | Day | Night | Sea | Sun/day | Rain mm | Rainy days | Days 25°C+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 23.6°C | 21.1°C | 24.2°C | 5.3 | 41 | 7 | 24% |
| February | 23.9°C | 21.1°C | 23.9°C | 6.5 | 32 | 6 | 31% |
| Marchbest | 24.4°C | 21.3°C | 24.1°C | 6.8 | 36 | 6 | 40% |
| Aprilbest | 25.6°C | 22.6°C | 25.0°C | 7.3 | 50 | 7 | 70% |
| May | 26.9°C | 24.1°C | 26.3°C | 6.9 | 78 | 10 | 95% |
| June | 28.5°C | 25.9°C | 28.1°C | 5.0 | 97 | 15 | 100% |
| July | 29.5°C | 26.7°C | 29.2°C | 6.3 | 73 | 15 | 100% |
| August | 29.6°C | 26.8°C | 29.7°C | 5.9 | 117 | 18 | 100% |
| September | 28.9°C | 26.3°C | 29.3°C | 4.6 | 133 | 20 | 100% |
| OctoberSelected | 27.6°C | 25.2°C | 28.3°C | 5.0 | 133 | 17 | 98% |
| November | 25.8°C | 23.5°C | 26.5°C | 5.6 | 71 | 9 | 71% |
| Decemberbest | 24.5°C | 22.2°C | 25.2°C | 5.5 | 40 | 7 | 45% |
Day = average daytime high, night = average night-time low, 1991-2020.Sun is hours per day; rainy days count 1 mm or more.
Day, night and sea
Monthly average temperatures, 1991-2020
- Day
- Night
- Sea
Best months here
On warmth, low rainfall and sunshine, start with these.
Keep exploring
Similar in October
Closest matches on daytime temperature, sea temperature and sunshine, in other countries.
United States · 28°C by day · sea 28°C
Miami
Mexico · 28°C by day · sea 29°C
Cancun
Antigua · 28°C by day · sea 29°C
Antigua
Cuba · 28°C by day · sea 28°C
Varadero
Dominican Republic · 28°C by day · sea 29°C
Punta Cana
A little more detail
Bahamas in October FAQs
Plain answers, grounded in the averages.
Is Bahamas hot in October?
Bahamas is hot in October: the average daytime high is 27.6°C and nights average 25.2°C. About 98% of October days reach 25°C or more.
Can you swim in the sea in Bahamas in October?
The sea around Bahamas averages 28.3°C in October, which is warm enough for most people to swim comfortably. Between 1991 and 2020 it ranged from 28°C to 29°C depending on the year.
How much does it rain in Bahamas in October?
Bahamas sees about 17 rainy days (1 mm or more) and 133 mm of rain in a typical October. The wettest October between 1991 and 2020 was 2005 (294 mm) and the driest was 1997 (23 mm).
How sunny is Bahamas in October?
Bahamas gets around 5.0 hours of sunshine a day in October out of 11.4 hours of daylight (estimated from average cloud cover).
How does Bahamas compare with the UK in October?
Bahamas is on average 13.0°C warmer than London by day in October (27.6°C against 14.6°C).
What is the hottest October on record in Bahamas?
Between 1991 and 2020 the hottest October day in Bahamas reached 30.8°C on 2020-10-07, and the coldest night dropped to 19.1°C on 1996-10-21.
How much warmer is the Bahamas than London in October?
The average daytime high is 27.6°C, compared with 14.6°C in London, a difference of 13.0°C. That means dressing for summer rather than autumn, with warm evenings too. The trade-off is humid air and frequent rainy days, not cool weather.
Would another month be a better choice?
April, March and December are the stronger overall choices for weather. October remains suitable if hot days and warm swimming are your priorities, but it is a less convincing choice if rain would spoil the holiday for you.
About these averages
ERA5-Land climate reanalysis via Open-Meteo (11 km grid) and NOAA Coral Reef Watch 5 km sea temperatures, 1991-2020
Averages computed from daily values at Nassau. Sea temperature from the nearest 5 km sea cell, 2.6 km from that point. Sunshine hours are estimated from average cloud cover.Records are the highest and lowest daily values in that 30-year period, not all-time records. These are climate averages, not a forecast for your trip. How we measure holiday weather
- Hot · 25°C+
- Warm · 20°C to below 25°C
- Mild · 15°C to below 20°C
- Cool · below 15°C