Your October weather guide

Weather in Mexico in October

October is a good month for Mexico if you want warmth and can accept rain, but it is not the best fit for a holiday built around dry weather. Country averages reach 29°C by day, with the sea also at 29°C, while 20 rainy days make flexible plans important. Among the coastal destinations here, Puerto Vallarta is the warmest choice; Cancun and the Riviera Maya offer slightly lower daytime temperatures, though neither promises a dry alternative.

Long-term climate averages, not a forecast · 1991-2020

Average daytime high
28.8°Cacross 5 destinations
Average night-time low
24.5°Cafter dark
Sea temperature
28.9°Cwarm enough to swim
Rainy days
20days1 mm or more

Mexico, month by month

Turn up the warmth

Warmest places in Mexico in October

Ranked by average daytime high. The full comparison is in the table below.

#1Hot

Puerto Vallarta

Mexico · 12 h 18 min from London

Day
30.4°C
Sea
29.5°C
Sun
4.8h
Rain days
19
#2Hot

Tulum

Mexico · 10 h 54 min from London

Day
28.6°C
Sea
28.8°C
Sun
4.6h
Rain days
20
#3Hot

Riviera Maya

Mexico · 10 h 48 min from London

Day
28.5°C
Sea
28.8°C
Sun
4.6h
Rain days
20
#4Hot

Playa del Carmen

Mexico · 10 h 48 min from London

Day
28.4°C
Sea
28.8°C
Sun
4.6h
Rain days
21
#5Hot

Cancun

Mexico · 10 h 42 min from London

Day
28.1°C
Sea
28.5°C
Sun
4.9h
Rain days
21

Mexico destinations ranked for October

All 5 places we track in Mexico, ordered by daytime high.

Scroll sideways for more weather, down for more places. Click a heading to sort.

Mexico destinations ranked by October temperature
#Destination
1Puerto Vallarta30.4°C23.6°C29.5°C4.8 h1912 h 18 min
2Tulum28.6°C24.5°C28.8°C4.6 h2010 h 54 min
3Riviera Maya28.5°C24.6°C28.8°C4.6 h2010 h 48 min
4Playa del Carmen28.4°C24.6°C28.8°C4.6 h2110 h 48 min
5Cancun28.1°C25.0°C28.5°C4.9 h2110 h 42 min

5 destinations shownClimate averages, not a forecast.

October climate overview

Daytime highs across Mexico in October run from 28.1°C (Cancun) to 30.4°C (Puerto Vallarta). In Puerto Vallarta about 100% of October days reach 25°C. Nights average 24.5°C; the coldest 10% of nights in Cancun fall to 24°C or below.

Rainfall in October

Expect around 20 rainy days (1 mm or more) in October, with Puerto Vallarta the driest (19 days) and Cancun the wettest (21 days). The wettest October at Puerto Vallarta between 1991 and 2020 was 2019 with 292 mm; the driest was 1995 with 37 mm.

Sea temperature

The sea averages 28.9°C around Mexico in October - warmest at Puerto Vallarta (29.5°C). That is comfortable for swimming.

Sunshine and daylight

Around 4.7 hours of sunshine a day on average, out of 11.5 hours of daylight (sunshine estimated from cloud cover).

October against the rest of the year in Mexico

October is the 7th warmest month of the twelve in Mexico. It is 0.9°C cooler than September and 1.2°C cooler in November. The hottest month here is August (30°C) and the coolest January (26°C).

Which part of Mexico in October?

What to pack for Mexico in October

Based on the averages: summer clothes for the day; a rain jacket - roughly 20 wet days; swimwear - the sea is 29°C.

Similar weather elsewhere in October

Within 1.5°C of Mexico's October daytime average: Ho Chi Minh City (30°C), Montego Bay (30°C, sea 29°C), Kololi (30°C, sea 29°C), Hurghada (30°C, sea 27°C), Goa (30°C, sea 28°C). See the full ranking for October.

Which part of Mexico should you choose?

For the highest temperatures among these destinations, choose Puerto Vallarta on the Pacific coast: days reach 30°C and the sea is equally warm. Its 19 rainy days are slightly fewer than elsewhere here, but that is not enough to make it a reliably dry choice. On the Caribbean coast, Tulum reaches 29°C, while the Riviera Maya, Playa del Carmen and Cancun sit at 28°C. That modest difference may suit travellers who prefer less daytime heat. Evenings do not offer much cooling: nights stay at 24°C in Puerto Vallarta and Tulum, and 25°C in the other destinations. Choose for your preferred level of warmth rather than expecting a major change in rain risk.

What to pack and how to plan your days

Pack light clothing for warm days and evenings, along with a waterproof layer that is comfortable in the heat. With country averages of 20 rainy days and 4.7 hours of sunshine, October calls for flexible outdoor plans rather than an expectation of clear skies throughout your stay. The rainy-day figures do not tell you when rain will arrive or how long it will last, so do not assume mornings or afternoons will always be dry. Leave room to move outdoor time around the forecast. At midday, plan breaks from the heat; after dark, temperatures remain warm enough that evenings are unlikely to feel like a cool reset.

A little more detail

Mexico in October FAQs

Plain answers, grounded in the averages.

Where is the hottest place in Mexico in October?

Puerto Vallarta is the warmest of the 5 places we track in Mexico in October with an average high of 30.4°C; Cancun is the coolest at 28.1°C.

Is the sea warm in Mexico in October?

The sea averages 22°C or more at Puerto Vallarta (30°C), Tulum (29°C), Riviera Maya (29°C), Playa del Carmen (29°C), Cancun (29°C) in October.

Is the sea warm enough for swimming in October?

Sea temperatures are warm across these destinations, ranging from 28°C in Cancun to 30°C in Puerto Vallarta. Tulum, the Riviera Maya and Playa del Carmen all average 29°C. Water temperature is unlikely to be the obstacle, but warmth alone does not establish safe swimming conditions.

How much warmer is Mexico than London in October?

Mexico averages 29°C by day, compared with London's 15°C, so expect a clear shift towards warm-weather clothing. Mexico's average night temperature is 24°C, meaning the warmth continues after sunset rather than giving way to the cooler conditions you may associate with October.

About these averages

ERA5-Land climate reanalysis via Open-Meteo (11 km grid), 1991-2020

Averages computed from daily values at 5 destination points.Records are the highest and lowest daily values in that 30-year period, not all-time records. These are climate averages, not a forecast for your trip. How we measure holiday weather